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The Grammy Awards are infamous for getting it mistaken. Through the years, the Recording Academy has triggered uproar because it both snubs these artists deemed most deserving or goes with a rogue alternative that nobody noticed coming. Which means annually it’s actually anybody’s guess, regardless of how a lot of a certainty an artist may appear.
In 2025, the “huge 4” classes of Album of the Yr, File of the Yr, Track of the Yr and Greatest New Artist are as aggressive as ever, with breakthrough pop stars Chappell Roan and Sabrina Carpenter muscling up towards heavyweights like Taylor Swift and Beyoncé.
Pioneering British artist Charli XCX and groundbreaking, Pulitzer Prize-winning rapper Kendrick Lamar are up towards The Beatles; UK singer and Grammys first-timer RAYE is competing with viral stars Benson Boone and Teddy Swims.
Forward of the ceremony in Los Angeles on Sunday 2 February, right here’s a have a look at the runners and riders for the large 4 classes on the Grammys.
Comply with dwell updates from the 2025 Grammy Awards right here.
File of the Yr
The Beatles – “Now and Then”
Beyoncé – “Texas Maintain ’Em”
Sabrina Carpenter – “Espresso”
Charli XCX – “360”
Billie Eilish – “Birds of a Feather”
Kendrick Lamar – “Not Like Us”
Chappell Roan – “Good Luck, Babe!”
Taylor Swift that includes Put up Malone – “Fortnight”
A reminder for the uninitiated: the File of the Yr prize is distinguished from Track of the Yr by recognising the artists, producers and engineers who contributed to the recording, whereas Track of the Yr offers extra with the composition and recognises the songwriters behind the monitor. That mentioned, most individuals – voters included – don’t usually discover a lot significant distinction between the 2.
If we’re following these Grammy pointers, although, The Beatles may very well be a controversial win on account of the usage of AI know-how to retrieve the vocal and instrument stems of a muddled recording by John Lennon at his piano within the years earlier than his demise. It’s actually intelligent, maybe even groundbreaking, and The Beatles’ standing alone might assist to sway voters.
Nevertheless, there’s loads of competitors from Kendrick Lamar’s slick and sharp “Not Like Us”, a Monk Higgins’-sampling diss monitor aimed toward fellow hip-hop star Drake that served – to many – because the killshot of their longstanding feud. Charli XCX’s “360”, the second single from her critically adored album Brat, incorporates hyperpop and electropop fizz from common collaborators AG Cook dinner and Cirkut.
Grammys favourites Taylor Swift, Billie Eilish and Beyoncé are all within the combine: Swift along with her gloomy, Eighties-influenced “Fortnight” ft Put up Malone, Eilish along with her sleeper hit “Birds of a Feather”, and Beyoncé with “Texas Maintain ’Em”, her foray into nation music.
Relative newcomer Chappell Roan is nominated for her runaway hit, the shuffly, squelchy baroque-synth bop “Good Luck, Babe!”, whereas her fellow breakthrough star, Sabrina Carpenter, appears like a possible shoo-in because of “Espresso”, a shot of completely produced pop.
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Ought to win: Kendrick Lamar – “Not Like Us”
Will win: Sabrina Carpenter – “Espresso”
Track of the Yr
“A Bar Track (Tipsy)” – Sean Cook dinner, Jerrell Jones, Joe Kent, Collins Obinna Chibueze, Nevin Sastry and Mark Williams – songwriters (Shaboozey)
“Birds of a Feather” – Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell – songwriters (Billie Eilish)
“Die with a Smile” – Dernst Emile II, James Fauntleroy, Girl Gaga, Bruno Mars and Andrew Watt – songwriters (Girl Gaga and Bruno Mars)
“Fortnight” – Jack Antonoff, Austin Put up and Taylor Swift – songwriters (Taylor Swift that includes Put up Malone)
“Good Luck, Babe!” – Kayleigh Rose Amstutz, Daniel Nigro and Justin Tranter – songwriters (Chappell Roan)
“Not Like Us” – Kendrick Lamar – songwriter (Kendrick Lamar)
“Please Please Please” – Amy Allen, Jack Antonoff and Sabrina Carpenter – songwriters (Sabrina Carpenter)
“Texas Maintain ‘Em” – Brian Bates, Beyoncé, Elizabeth Lowell Boland, Megan Bülow, Nate Ferraro and Raphael Saadiq – songwriters (Beyoncé)
As regular, there’s loads of overlap on this class with the Track of the Yr group. As a substitute of “Espresso”, although, Carpenter is competing along with her newest album’s fizzy second single “Please Please Please”, by which she asks/warns her dangerous boy lover to not embarrass her.
Elsewhere, Girl Gaga and Bruno Mars’s Billboard 100-topping smash “Die with a Smile” might trigger an enormous upset if it wins over the likes of Lamar.
Followers would possibly keep in mind that Mars has earlier with the Compton rapper, having scooped him for the coveted Album of the Yr prize in 2018 when many believed Lamar ought to have gained for his critically adored fourth file, DAMN.
Will win: Kendrick Lamar, “Not Like Us”
Ought to win: Kendrick Lamar, “Not Like Us”
Greatest New Artist
Benson Boone
Sabrina Carpenter
Doechii
Raye
Chappell Roan
Shaboozey
Khruangbin
Teddy Swims
As of late, Greatest New Artist classes are likely to really feel embarrassingly out-of-touch contemplating the fast tempo of music consumption within the age of streaming. Nonetheless, each Chappell Roan and Sabrina Carpenter can be worthy contenders after their big breakthroughs in 2024, ditto Raye – the only real British contender on this 12 months’s checklist – who swept the Brit Awards in a fairytale night final March.
Actually, it ought to go to Doechii, the Tampa, Florida-born rapper, who to date has not missed with excellent tracks equivalent to “Denial is a River” and “Alter Ego” ft JT. Texas psych-rock trio Khruangbin launched their debut album a decade in the past – hopefully voters aren’t that behind the occasions.
Then there’s the TikTok trio: Shaboozey, Teddy Swims and Benson Boone, whose respective singles “A Bar Track (Tipsy)”, “Lose Management” and “Lovely Issues” have been just about inescapable on the platform for the final 12 months.
Will win: Chappell Roan
Ought to win: Doechii
Album of the Yr
André 3000 – New Blue Solar
Beyoncé – Cowboy Carter
Sabrina Carpenter – Quick n’ Candy
Charli XCX – Brat
Jacob Collier – Djesse Vol 4
Billie Eilish – Hit Me Arduous and Tender
Chappell Roan – The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess
Taylor Swift – The Tortured Poets Division
Beyoncé followers will likely be holding their breath but once more to see if the Cowboy Carter artist lastly takes dwelling AOTY. Regardless of holding the file for the artist with essentially the most Grammy wins (32, in the event you had been questioning), she’s additionally been snubbed on a couple of event for the album and File of the Yr prizes.
This 12 months, she’s bought some fierce competitors: Taylor Swift is eyeing up what can be a record-breaking fifth Album of the Yr win for The Tortured Poets Division, and will additionally change into the primary feminine artist to win the prize in consecutive years (Stevie Surprise and Frank Sinatra are the one ones to attain this feat earlier than).
As a substitute of handing over the award to a pop juggernaut, although, Grammys voters would possibly want to acknowledge the slow-burning success of Chappell Roan’s sensible debut, The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess, or certainly Sabrina Carpenter’s breakthrough sixth album, Quick n’ Candy. In the event that they’re feeling significantly Brat, they might go for Charli XCX’s neon-green membership basic, which reached a really respectable No 3 within the US albums chart. Grammys darling Billie Eilish can be a extra apparent (learn: boring) win along with her third file, Hit Me Arduous and Tender.
One other Brit, music prodigy Jacob Collier, can be a extra controversial win ought to the Grammys determine to honour a male artist over the pop queens who dominated 2024. He’s one other favorite among the many Recording Academy, regardless of a considerably ambivalent important reception to his contender, Djesse Vol 4. One other potential upset may very well be André 3000’s divisive flute-led album – his first full-length launch in 20 years – New Blue Solar.
Will win: Beyoncé
Ought to win: Chappell Roan
See the total checklist of Grammy 2025 nominations right here.