In a deeply divided Israel, even the dramatic scene above the nation’s skies on Sunday is open to political interpretation.
For supporters of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s show of defensive know-how in opposition to an Iranian salvo that included lots of of drones and missiles proves Mr. Netanyahu has lengthy been proper to warn concerning the menace posed by Iran.
His opponents are loath to offer him any credit score, reserving their reward for the air pressure.
“Like all the pieces in Israel in recent times, the story is break up into two narratives,” stated Mazal Mualem, an Israeli political commentator for Al-Monitor, a Center East information website, and the creator of a current biography of the Israeli chief.
“The division and polarization in Israeli society prevents individuals from seeing the complete image,” Ms. Mualem added.
Iran’s barrage on Sunday, launched in response to an Israeli assault on an Iranian Embassy constructing this month in Damascus that killed a number of high-ranking commanders in Iran’s armed forces, got here at a dangerous time for Mr. Netanyahu.
At house, he’s an unpopular chief whom many maintain answerable for his authorities’s coverage and intelligence failures that led to the lethal Hamas-led assault in southern Israel on Oct. 7, which prompted Israel to go to conflict in Gaza. Overseas, he’s the main target of worldwide censure over Israel’s prosecution of that conflict, which has resulted within the deaths of tens of hundreds of Gazans.
How he finally emerges from this episode might depend upon what occurs subsequent.
Mr. Netanyahu now should make a selection. Will he reply to Iran with a forceful counterattack and doubtlessly entangle Israel and different nations in a broader conflict? Or will he take up the assault, which gravely injured one 7-year-old woman however in any other case did restricted harm, and defer to the coalition that helped defend Israel within the pursuits of regional stability?
Israel’s allies have been urging restraint.
“The query is whether or not Israel goes to retaliate instantly, or shock the Iranians in a method or one other,” stated Efraim Halevy, who served as director of Mossad, Israel’s intelligence company, through the latter a part of Mr. Netanyahu’s first time period within the Nineties.
No Israeli chief has warned about Iran so persistently as Mr. Netanyahu or, for that matter, has spent so lengthy in workplace. Israel’s longest serving prime minister, he has been in energy for about 17 years total.
Since his first 12 months in workplace in 1996, Mr. Netanyahu warned {that a} nuclear Iran can be catastrophic and that point was operating out. For the practically three many years since, he has been sounding the identical alarm.
Iran maintains a community of proxy militias throughout the area, together with in Gaza, which the federal government funds and provides with weapons. A few of these militias in Yemen, Syria and Lebanon have battled with Israel, creating distractions for the Israeli authorities and army amid the conflict with Hamas.
However maybe extra troubling, consultants say, is that Iran is nearer than ever to acquiring a nuclear weapon. Mr. Netanyahu’s backers nonetheless credit score him with having put Iran’s nuclear program on the world agenda then, and so they reward him now for investing within the mighty, multilayered air protection system that allowed Israel and its allies, together with the US, to intercept the overwhelming majority of Iranian drones and missiles this weekend earlier than they reached Israel.
Typically resorting to gimmicks and antics to attract consideration to Iran’s nuclear progress, Mr. Netanyahu has previously made opposing Iran a key a part of his world diplomacy. As soon as, on the United Nations Normal Meeting he held up a cartoonish drawing of a bomb marked with purple strains depicting enrichment ranges. One other time, on the Munich Safety Convention, he waved round a chunk of wreckage from what he stated was an Iranian drone despatched from Syria and shot down by Israel.
“All over the place he went he was speaking about it,” recalled Jeremy Issacharoff, a former Israeli ambassador to Germany and for years the Ministry of Overseas Affairs level man coordinating diplomatic efforts on regional safety and the Iranian menace.
At occasions, Mr. Netanyahu’s marketing campaign in opposition to Iran has severely strained Israel’s relations with American presidents, although bipartisan U.S. assist for Israel has lengthy been thought-about a strategic asset.
Round 2012, Mr. Netanyahu infuriated the Obama administration by pushing laborious for President Barack Obama to set clear “purple strains” on Iran’s nuclear progress that might immediate the US to undertake a army strike. Earlier than that, the Israeli prime minister was planning for a unilateral Israeli strike within the face of powerful opposition from Washington and public criticism from a string of former Israeli safety chiefs. It was by no means clear if Mr. Netanyahu was bluffing, and the prospect of an imminent strike receded.
He additional challenged Mr. Obama in 2015 with an impassioned speech to a joint assembly of Congress denouncing what he known as a “unhealthy deal” being negotiated by the US and different world powers with Iran to curb its nuclear program.
When President Donald J. Trump got here to energy, Mr. Netanyahu inspired him to withdraw from the settlement — a transfer that many Israeli consultants have known as a dire mistake and a failure of Mr. Netanyahu’s Iran coverage.
“Since then, there have been no constraints on this system,” Mr. Issacharoff stated, including, “It has by no means been extra superior.”
But it surely was additionally beneath Mr. Netanyahu’s watch that Israel solid diplomatic relations with extra Arab states which can be thought-about a part of the reasonable, anti-Iranian axis, together with the United Arab Emirates.
No matter what comes subsequent, Ms. Mualem, the Netanyahu biographer, stated, “Bibi continues to be within the recreation,” referring to him by his nickname. “He’s a central participant, and it isn’t over, diplomatically or politically. And he performs an extended recreation.”
