The Conservative Occasion is heading in direction of the worst basic election consequence it has ever seen
The British Conservatives are set to face a historic loss in July’s basic election, ending their 14 years on the helm of the UK, in response to three main polls on Wednesday.
A ballot by Savanta and Electoral Calculus for the Telegraph forecasts the Tories getting simply 53 seats out of the 650 up for grabs in July’s vote. Not solely would this mark an all-time low for the Conservative social gathering, the ballot additionally predicted the present Tory chief and Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, might lose his seat in Richmond and Northallerton, an unprecedented blow for a serving PM.
A Extra in Widespread survey for the Information Brokers podcast confirmed the Tories heading in direction of getting 155 seats. Regardless of being probably the most optimistic for the Tories of the three MRP polls, this could nonetheless put them manner beneath the present 344, and even fewer seats than that they had in 1997, when the Conservative social gathering final misplaced management to Labour.
In the meantime, YouGov predicted the Tories will slip all the way down to 108 seats. All three MRP polls projected that the Conservative Occasion would see a worse end result than their disastrous 1906 consequence, once they misplaced to a landslide Liberal victory, with 156 seats to 397.
The surveys all forecast that the Liberal Democrats will attain their greatest leads to years. YouGov predicted the Lib Dems would get 67 seats, which might represent their greatest ever basic election consequence. Extra in Widespread put them at 49 seats, whereas Savanta at 50.
All three surveys advised Labour Occasion chief Sir Keir Starmer is on monitor to change into the subsequent Prime Minister, and all three predicted his social gathering profitable greater than 400 seats – greater than the social gathering’s report historic win in 1997.
